Wednesday
Weather
So, after barely seeing a cloud for about almost a fortnight, the sky will suddenly be covered in the things. We will certainly have some bright moments but it will feel very different from recnt times. Temperatures are expected to peak in the high teens; probably at 18°C but maybe just stretching to 19°C. As for the showers, there is going to be a risk of these from mid-morning onward. However, for the first few hours, most of these will be from high cloud so they will probably evaporate before reaching the ground. Then in the afternoon and evening, the cloud will be a lot lower, actually making conditions rather murky at times, and our gardens will finally get to enjoy a decent drink.
Surf and the Water
A flat sea on this day, until the late afternoon wind whips up a bit of chop. That chop won’t be surfable though, it’s just that you will want to get ahead of it if you’re looking to go paddle-boarding in lovely smooth-water conditions.
Thursday
Weather
Moderate NW’ly winds will bring cooler air, so many parts of the islands won’t be any warmer than 16°C, but hopefully Town and a few other sheltered parts will make it to 17 or 18°C. The weather shouldn’t be too bad though, because the showers will only be isolated and the sunny spells will be nice and lengthy, especially during the middle part of the day.
Surf and the Water
Another flat day for surfers. If you want smooth water for swimming, kayaking or paddle-boarding, then you will need to hit the south coast in the late afternoon or early eavening, when high tide will mean that the cliffs should filter out the vast majority of the wind.
Friday
Weather
Almost identical to Thursday in terms of wind and temperature. However, it looks as though the showers will be so isolated that we might even stay dry through the hours of daylight.
Surf and the Water
Sloppy onshore surf, could give some 2-3 foot waves for the super-keen shortboarders. Perhaps the happiest people will be the kitesurfers and the windsurfers, who should find a consistent force 5 WNW’ly in the late afternoon and evening.
The weekend
Weather
A couple of cool days, with the fresh NW’ly wind being the only constant, whilst the weather is generally up and down like a yoyo. On the plus-side, the showers should generally be brief and the sunny interludes much more lengthy. The most pleasant conditions always being found on the south and east coasts.
Surf and the Water
Conditions will be pretty similar in terms of rather ugly but functional chop for surfers. The biggest smiles once again on the faces of the wind-junkies, but it’s very uncertain whether that will be on Saturday or Sunday.
Next Week
Weather
We are probably looking at a week of two halves, with the first couple of days being dry and probably quite sunny, and then the rest of the week being fairly heavily peppered with showers. The temperatures should be pretty average throughout; daily maxima around 16-17°C and nightly minima around 12-13°C. On a positive note, the winds are looking consistently light, so the dry times should still feel very pleasant and comfortable.
Surf and the Water
Not a lot of surf on the cards. However, with winds falling light for much of the time, the kayaking and paddleboarding conditions could be lots of fun. The tidal range getting small again, with high-water around breakfast time on Monday, progressing to lunchtime by Friday and the weekend.
The next forecast update should be with you on Friday evening.
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Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway