Wednesday
The Weather
With high pressure almost directly overhead, the N’ly wind will be so light that it’s barely noticeable, allowing the sunshine to really warm us up nicely. The likely max temperature being around 20°C. The great thing about days like this is that all the beaches around the island are as comfortable as each other, so the times and heights of the tides are pretty much all you need to consider.
Surf and the Water
The tidal range will be fairly small... low water will be around 3m at 8:20am and 8:50pm, high water about 7.3m at 2:30pm. The west-coast waves should be 1-2 feet and clean.
Thursday
The Weather
There have only been minor changes to the weather story for this week, but the first of these is that Thursday now looks set to be the hottest day, rather than Friday. The weather very straight forward, with a gentle E’ly breeze bringing hot continental air and dazzling blue skies for the vast majority of the day. The likely max temp, a toasty 27°C in central and western parts, with the UV index reaching a max UV of 7 or 8.
Surf and the Water
Clean 1-foot waves if we are lucky, but we will mainly be looking at perfect swimming and paddle-boarding conditions, especially on the west coast and in some corners of the south. Low water will be about 3m at 9:40am, then high water will be about 7.4m at 3:40pm.
Friday
The Weather
The temperature will only be 2-3°C lower than on Thursday, but this time the mid-twenties max will be focused on the east of the island, because the breeze will have switched to a gentle S’ly in the morning and a W’ly in the afternoon. Skies will be rather cloudy during the second half of the day, and there is a very small risk that a thundery shower could develop.
Surf and the Water
The surf will gradually increase to about 4-feet, but it will certainly be cleanest during the morning when it is only 2-feet. The best swimming conditions will probably be north and west coasts during the morning, followed by the east coast in the afternoon. Low water will be about 2-9m at 10:50am, then high water will be about 7.7m at 5pm.
The Weekend
The Weather
With a moderate W’ly breeze, and dry weather on both days, along with an even mix of cloud and sunshine, everything is looking rather average. However, Ain the first days of August, average temperatures really aren’t too bad, the likely max temps being about 21°C in Town, perhaps a degree or two less in the more exposed northern and western parts.
Surf and the Water
Once again, head east to find smooth conditions for swimming etc. If you are surfing then you will find it slightly choppy out west, but with 4-5 feet on Saturday, followed by 2-3 feet on Sunday, I’m sure you’ll have plenty of fun. The tidal range will be medium to large, with lows around lunchtime and the highs 6 hours either side.
Next Week
The Weather
It’s far from certain, so don’t be surprised to see a few changes in the forecast, from one update to the next. However, the current expectation is for a good spell of rain or three as we go through Monday and Tuesday. The wind looking like a strong S’ly on Monday morning, veering W’ly by the end of the day and then becoming much gentler through Tuesday. As for the rest of the week, that’s looking dry and probably sunny for the bulk of the time. Just a slim chance that it could heat up to the mid-twenties again (watch this space).
Surf and the Water
Certainly some chunky surf developing on Monday and also some decent windsurfing conditions. Tuesday should also have some choppy but fun waves for surfers. The rest of the week will probably maintain small but surfable waves. Keep an eye on the mid-Atlantic and also the east coast America, because there is always a chance that things could get a little more lively.
The next forecast update will be with you on Friday.
Previous Weather Fox ForecastsTide Tables
Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway