Saturday
Weather
Strong force 6 S'ly winds will bring mild air (max temp 15°C ) but also a succession of showers or longer spells of rain. With 5-15mm expected by the end of the day, there will be some pretty large puddles, but not as big as. on Sunday!
Surf and the Water
Some lovely clean west-coast surf, with wave-heights of around 4-5 feet. The high tides will be about 9.4m at 5:30am and 9.7m at 5:50pm. Low water will be about 1.3m at 1:50am.
Sunday
Weather
Strong to gale force WSW’ly winds and about 10-20mm of rainfall. Definitely an indoorsy kind of day for most people. However, if you are planning on a decent walk, then the most comfortable option will be between Havelet and Jerbourg, but the most exciting option will probably be down at Pleinmont.
Surf and the Water
Some very large surf, perhaps quite clean and manageable (for experts) on the west coast at dawn, but any after-breakfast sessions will probably have to be on the north coast. The BIG tides will ok for the east coast but quite troublesome on the west. The worst one being around 10m high at 6:30pm, in conjunction with the strongest onshore winds. Lots of splashing and debris can be expected, and perhaps even some local flooding.
Monday and Tuesday
Weather
I’m sorry to say that there is no longer a signal for those dry and settled conditions that were previously expected. Yes it’s looking like a wet and windy week on the whole, and the first two days are probably going to be the best of the bunch. Monday looks mostly dry but cloudy, with a strong force 6 W’ly wind and a top temp of 14°C. Tuesday looks much sunnier, with a fresh force 5 SSW’ly probably taking our temperature up to an unseasonably high 15-16°C.
Surf and the Water
Big messy waves on Monday. Great for windsurfing and kitesurfing but not so great for surfing. Then Tuesday looks absolutely fantastic for surfers, with really clean 5-6 foot waves. As for the tides, the messiest one (for the west coast) will be the 9.9m high at 7am on Monday. Not so bad on Tuesday morning though, when the high will only be 9.7m and the wind direction will be much more favourable.
The Rest of Next Week
Weather
The precise daily details can’t be reliably predicted at this early stage, but we can be confident that Wednesday morning will be the climax of this unseasonable mildness, with temperatures peaking at 16°C before a very soggy cold-front sweeps through, probably in the afternoon. Then Thursday and Friday will probably see occasional showers, as cooler air steadily feeds in from the northwest. The difference in temperature will be quite extreme actually, because there is a strong signal for widespread snow over the UK on Saturday 21st. Obviously not for us, but only about a hundred miles away, so I’m sure we shall hear plenty about it.
Surf and Tide
The tidal range will steadily get smaller, with the highs moving into the late mornings and the lows moving into the late afternoons. As for the surf, there will certainly be plenty of large swell, so we shall just have to look for those brief moments when the wind falls very light, or perhaps find some shelter down on the south coast.
The next forecast update should be with you on Sunday evening...
Previous Weather Fox ForecastsTide Tables
Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway