Tuesday and Wednesday
Weather
We will maintain the beautiful sunshine and silver-lined bubbly clouds, but we will gradually lose the relatively chilly air that we’ve had over the past few days. Temperatures have generally been peaking between 15°C and 16°C, but on Tuesday we should easily reach 17°C and then 18°C on Wednesday (maybe a little more in Town each day). As for the chance of catching any showers, there will still be the chance of a brief splash from one of those bubbly clouds on Tuesday morning. However, much like the previous days, they are much more likely to stay to the north of us during the morning, and then focus on Normandy in the afternoon.
Surf and the Water
The surf will probably be flat as a lake, but if there is a rideable ripple for kiddies then it will either be at dawn or towards dinner time. The main events will definitely be the smooth-water activities though, such as swimming and paddle-boarding, with the east coast being the place to head on Tuesday and all coasts being equally lovely on Wednesday. High water on Tuesday will be roughly 8.6m around 8am and around 8pm. Then on Wednesday it will be about 8.5m at roughly 8:30am and 8:40pm.
Thursday and Friday
Weather
These two days aren’t looking nearly as cloudy or showery as previously expected. However, we are still expecting that combo of rising temperatures, offset by strengthening winds. Those winds, coming from the northeast, will be drawing in warm air from Central Europe, but they will be force 4 increasing fresh force 5 by the end of Thursday and then possibly sprucing up to strong force 6 on Friday. Max temps 18-19°C each day, but you’re really going to have to find a tall-walled sun-trap to feel the benefit. Needless to say, these will be phenomenally good conditions for drying a few loads of laundry. That said, keep an eye on the Channel Islands weather radar, because there will be some heavy (possibly thundery) showers over France in the afternoons, and there’s always the slimmest chance that they could wander in our direction during the evenings.
Surf and the Water
The surf will be flat for sure, that is unless Friday afternoon’s/evening’s winds are strong enough to whip up something rideable at Pembroke. Unfortunately the swimming and paddle-boarding won’t be quite so great due to the strengthening wind. Definitely best to get in early Thursday for the lightest winds, or to head to the south-coast at high tide for the best shelter. Those high tides… roughly 8.3m around 9am and around 9:10pm on Thursday. Then on Friday they will be about 8m at roughly 9:30am and 9:40pm.
The Weekend
Weather
Both days looking cloudier than the previous days, and with a much greater chance of catching some heavy (perhaps thundery) showers. Saturday will still be plagued by that fresh to strong NE’ly wind, so it’s really not going to feel too special, even though the air will be inherently warm. Sunday will then see a wind change to a moderate N’ly, and this will probably shave a couple of degrees off the temperature, such that we struggle to climb any higher than 16°C.
Surf and the Water
More absolute flatness, with the exception of any wind-chop at Pembroke on Saturday. Good windsurfing and kite-surfing conditions though. The tides will be high in the mid-mornings (7.6m and 7.2m respectively) and low in the late afternoons.
The next forecast update will be on Wednesday evening…
Previous Weather Fox ForecastsTide Tables
Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway