Friday
Weather
A cloudier and cooler day than most of the recent ones with a SE’ly breeze. There’s a very slim chance of some rain at lunchtime, but it will most probably be dry and pleasant, with partial sunshine (at least from mid-afternoon), and only a light force 2-3 breeze that shouldn’t compromise the 15°C max with any wind-chill whatsoever.
Surf and the Water
Solid west-coast surf again, with clean 5-6 footers, especially around lunchtime. Swimming conditions will be great too, especially on the north coast, and the more protected west-coast bays. Tiny tides, with lows around dawn and dinner time, and a high of 6.4m around midday.
Saturday
Weather
Some relatively grotty weather in the morning, with cloudy skies and showers, accompanied by a force 4-5 W’ly wind. The afternoon will be a bit sunnier, but the wind won’t get any lighter, maybe even pickling up to a strong force 6 SW’ly by evening. Temperatures will peak around 12°C, and the wind-chill effect will make it feel more like 7°C, so I don’t think you’ll be wearing your shorts and flip-flops on this day. If anywhere’s going to crank up to 13°C, then it will be in Town, so maybe it’s a good day to go shopping.
Surf and the Water
Messy 4-5 foot surf through most of the day, then some fairly clean 8 foot surf in the evening, perhaps even big enough for some even cleaner waves on the north coast. Great windsurfing and kitesurfing conditions. Not so great for swimming though, unless you seek some super-shelter at Fermain or somewhere similarly oriented. Low tides will be around 8am and 8pm. High will be around 2pm (just a tiny 6.2m).
Sunday
Weather
Gentler winds than Saturday, moderate force 4 SW’ly in the morning, reducing to light force 3 by late afternoon. Skies will be mostly sunny, but there will be plenty of bubbly shower clouds over the Channel, and it’s possible (but not likely) that one or two of them might give the Islands a brief sprinkling, mainly in the morning. Temperatures will peak around 13°C quite widely, but maybe continue to 14°C in Town. Night time temperatures will be a few degrees lower than recent nights, falling to a minimum of about 6°C.
Surf and the Water
Semi-clean 10 foot surf on the west coast, probably some decent 4-6 footers on the north. Swimming will be east coast only. Tides will be low around breakfast time, then high at 3:40pm (just 6.5m, but with some hefty surge from that powerful Atlantic swell).
Next Week
Weather
Mostly calm and settled conditions, with lots of sunshine on most days, and just a few passing clouds or mist patches. Late Wednesday and then Thursday, look set to be cloudier and possibly wet, but it’s a long way off so take that with a pinch of salt and keep an eye on the forecast updates. Temperatures will generally peak in the low to mid teens during the daytime, then fall to the mid-single figures during the night time.
Surf and the Water
The most predictable element is the tides, with highs increasing daily, from around 7m on Monday (around 4am and 5pm), to about 9.4m on Friday (around 7:20am and 7:40pm). Winds will possibly be good for windsurfing and kitesurfing on Thursday, but the other days are looking much calmer and well-suited to swimming and paddle-boarding (in the right places). Surf-wise, we are looking at mostly clean waves, varying from about 5 feet on Monday and Friday, to about 2-3 feet on Wednesday.
The next forecast update will be most likely be on Sunday…
Previous Weather Fox ForecastsTide Tables
Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway