Thursday
Weather
With Storm Christoph departing the UK and a new low developing in Biscay then spiralling through Northern France, we will see quite a variation in wind through Thursday. The day will kick off with a strong force 6 SW’ly as the low approaches, then it will fall light and floppy in the afternoon as the low passes almost overhead, before a settling into a moderate NW’ly for the evening and night. As for the weather, well that’s going to be a combo of sunshine, showers and rainbows through the morning. Then, through the afternoon and evening, it’s just looking persistently cloudy and wet. Daytime max 9°C, overnight min 5°C.
Surf and the Water
Clean 6’ surf all day on the west coast and lovely conditions for cold-water swimming during the afternoon. The tidal range will be very small, with a high of roughly 7.2m at 11:50am.
Friday
Weather
And it’s back to sunshine, showers and rainbows. The W’ly wind a moderate force 4 all day, so the 8°C max temp will be a fairly chilly one, except perhaps in Town.
Surf and the Water
Lovely weather for east-coast swimming. Rather choppy and sloppy for our west-coast surfers though. That said, there will certainly be some fun to be had on the 6’ lumps. High water will be a mere 6.9m at 12:50pm.
The Weekend
Weather
Strong force 6 WNW’ly winds will bring cool air and a scattering of heavy showers through both days (probably with the odd blast of hail). Sure there will be some sunny intervals, but the miserly 6-8°C air is always going to feel rather cold. Definitely best to head to a sheltered spot if you want to feel at all comfortable. The most obvious places include Town, Fermain, Moulin Huet, Saints and Petit Bot.
Surf and the Water
Not a great weekend for surfing I’m afraid. Great for kite-surfing and windsurfing though. The times of high water will be slipping into the mid-afternoons (roughly 7m on both days).
Next Week
Weather
Oooh a ridge of high pressure through the second half of Monday and at first half of Tuesday. Hopefully this little slice of dryness and sunshine will not get squeezed out of the forecast, but I’m afraid there is always a bit of uncertainty at a few days range. Anyway, it will only be a brief respite at best, because the rest of the week is looking very wet and windy. Daily max temperatures back up to 10°C for the second half of the week, so I’m afraid I still can’t offer any hope for snow-lovers.
Surf and the Water
Surfers should certainly seize their moments towards the end of Monday and then through Tuesday. Otherwise the week will be mostly plagued by strong onshore winds. The swell will be very large at times though, so if we are blessed by any brief cross-shores or even offshores, then there is the potential for one or two classic sessions.
The next forecast update will be on Friday evening…
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Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway