Monday
Weather
Seize this day for outdoor activity, because this is set to be the most settled day by a long shot. Showers will be very few and far between, possibly missing the islands altogether, simply leaving us with a mixture of brightness and cloudiness. The loveliest thing about it will be the lightness of the wind, just a force 2-3 N’ly in the morning, followed by a force 1-2 NW’ly in the afternoon. Temperatures only peaking around 8°C again, but feeling so much more comfortable than the past few days.
Surf and the Water
The waves will be clean for surfers (2-3 feet) and the water will be nice and smooth for swimmers and paddle-boarders. High water will be about 7.3m at 1:40pm.
Tuesday
Weather
The wind will increase significantly (force 5), but it will also change direction (W’ly), allowing much milder air to spread over the islands. The temperature should jump right up to 12°C in the afternoon, with dry weather and partial sunshine. The next bout of wet weather being a bit of a deluge around midnight, when we will also see the wind crank up to strong force 7.
Surf and the Water
The west coast will be particularly good for windsurfing and there will also be some lumpy old waves for surfers to mess around with. Other than that, we are probably just talking about going to Fermain for a reasonably sheltered sea-swim. High water will be about 7.8m at 2:50pm.
Wednesday to Friday
Weather
I’m afraid this is the rotten end of the week… Wednesday will start off bright, but strong force 6-7 NW’ly winds will gradually bring more and more squally showers. On Thursday, the showers will become fewer and further between, but those strong winds will veer N’ly, which means that the air will become much colder, even though there should be a good amount of sunshine. Friday then looks like the wettest day of the week, as a nasty little low-pressure system swings right over the Channel.
Surf and the Water
Maybe the west-coast water will manage to get the windsurfers excited, but I think the surfers and swimmers will have to look to the south coast if they are really desperate to get in the sea. The tides will be getting quite big again, with lows in the late mornings and highs around dusk.
The Weekend
Weather
The current outlook for the coming weekend is looking remarkable similar to the one that we have just had. Saturday kicking off with gales or perhaps severe gales, before settling into a strong force 7 NW’ly with frequent showers of rain or hail. Sunday’s winds then relaxing to fresh force 5 and the showers dying away to almost nothing. It’s too far away to have a great deal of confidence in the forecast detail, but I think it’s safe to say that it will be unsettled… no sign of any nice high-pressure systems arriving in the first week of December, and probably not in the second week either I’m afraid.
Surf and the Water
Much like the previous days, the west-coast might be appealing to windsurfers, but it will have to be the sheltered south-coast nooks for anybody who is seeking smoother water. Big tides, with highs of over 9.5m shortly before dawn and after dusk. Tide warnings will be highly likely for the west coast and, on Saturday morning, quite possibly for the east coast too.
The next forecast update will be on Tuesday or Wednesday…
Previous Weather Fox ForecastsTide Tables
Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway