Thursday
Weather
A rainy morning with a moderate N’ly wind and ten a sunny afternoon with a moderate NW’ly. This wind will bring relatively chilly air to the islands, so we will only get up to about 8°C even with that sunshine. To feel warmest, just head to one of the lovely south-coast beaches or cliff-paths.
Surf and the Water
The west-coast waves will be a bit smaller than on Wednesday and they will be very choppy. High tide will just be a tiny 6.4m at 1:01pm.
Friday
Weather
A frosty start, with a minimum air temperature of about 4-5°C and a sub-zero ground temperature in sheltered places. We should soon warm up to our 9°C max though, as the NW’ly wind falls light and variable and then becomes a gentle S’ly. All the while, the skies should stay fairly bright, as the cloud (although plentiful) will all be high, allowing a good amount of hazy sunshine to filter through.
Surf and the Water
The 3-foot surf will be increasingly clean at the favourite west-coast breaks, and the swimming conditions should be great all around the island, especially in the early afternoon when there’s just a suggestion of high tide (6.2m at 2:36pm).
The Weekend
Weather
This part of the forecast has taken a bit of a dive I’m afraid. Saturday still looks reasonably ok though, because the rain should hold off until evening. However, the skies will be increasingly cloudy and the SSW’ly wind will be rather perky at fresh force 5. Sunday will then be the nastiest day of the weekend, as a low pressure system is set to pass directly over the Channel, giving us heavy downpours and strong to gale-force winds, from a S’ly direction in the daytime and a NW’ly direction in the night-time. Temperatures rising from a max of 9°C on Saturday to about 11°C on Sunday, but really not feeling any warmer due to the strength of that wind.
Surf and the Water
Clean west-coast surf on both days and some pretty epic windsurfing conditions too. Wave heights generally around 3 feet on Saturday, picking up to around 5 feet on Sunday. The tidal movements will still be small, but not quite as small as the previous days… lows in the mid-mornings and highs in the late afternoons (6.8m and 7.3m respectively).
Next Week
Weather
A pretty stormy week on the whole, with force 5-6 W’ly winds brining quite a few showers and occasionally some longer spells of rain. The foul weather will be punctuated by a few sunny spells and pretty rainbows though. However, you will probably want to stick to sheltered areas like Town and Fermain if you want to feel comfortable. Temperatures generally between 10 and 12°C in the daytime, and between 8 and 10°C in the night-time.
Surf and the Water
The tides will gradually get springy again, with highs around dawn and dusk and lows around lunchtime. As for the surf, it will be far from flat but there isn’t much promise of anything great, with the winds being fairly strong onshore for the majority of the time. Generally a good week for windsurfing on the west coast and a good week for sea-swimming on the sheltered east.
The next forecast update will be on Friday evening…
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Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway