Saturday
Weather
Perhaps a little low cloud and mist patches early morning, but soon becoming sunny and staying that way until a little cloud returns at dusk. All the while, winds will be very light indeed, meaning that all areas are very comfortable. What breeze there is will be W’ly, meaning that Town will be at least a degree warmer than everywhere else, peaking at around 19°C.
Surf and the Water
The surf will be glassy clean all day… 4 feet on the morning push, 3 feet through the afternoon drop, then 2 feet as the tides pushes in again towards dusk. Great swimming, kayaking and paddle-boarding conditions on all coasts. High water will be about 7.9m at 11:17am and low water will be about 2.6m at 5:33pm.
Sunday
Weather
The morning will be just as sunny and calm as on Saturday, then a light force 3 NE’ly wind will develop in the afternoon. This is due to a shallow low pressure system developing over France. On the one hand, the circulation will bring us a bit of that French heat (leading to a top temp of 20°C) but on the other hand a few heavy showers will be thrown in our direction, putting us at risk of a downpour or two, anytime between dinner time and the small hours of Monday morning.
Surf and the Water
The surf will be glassy clean again, but decidedly small I’m afraid… 2 feet late morning and lunchtime and only about 1 foot for the rest of the day. Great swimming, kayaking and paddle-boarding conditions again, especially on the south coast. High water will be about 7.4m at twenty past midday and low water will be about 3.1m at 6:39pm.
Monday to Wednesday
Weather
These are the relatively unsettled days of next week, each one with relatively cool air and a bit of wetness and windiness. Monday will have a mainly sunny morning, followed by some heavy showers in the afternoon (max temp 16°C, wind WSW’ly force 4 increasing force 5). Tuesday should be sunny all day except for a few brief showers in the morning (max temp 15°C, wind W’ly force 4-5). Wednesday cloudy with occasional rain and drizzle (max temp 16°C, wind W’ly force 5-6). All three days will be warmest and most sheltered in Town and in the Fermain area.
Surf and the Water
Choppy surf every day, especially Wednesday, but there will be rideable waves, especially on account of the tides being quite small (generally 7.5m on the highs)… 1-2 feet on Monday, 3 feet on Tuesday and 4 feet on Wednesday. As for the swimming, definitely best to stay on the east coast for that.
Thursday and Friday
Weather
High pressure will return to the Channel, giving us a much lighter breeze (mostly NW’ly), dry weather and plenty of sunshine. Temperatures climbing to a max of 18°C on Thursday and then 19°C on Friday (maybe each day a degree higher in Town). It’s going to be really close to the summer solstice (less than a month away), so the UV index could be as high as 7, making sun-cream and hats even more essential than they are already.
Surf and the Water
The waves will become much less choppy and there will be a decent little swell left over (still 2-4 feet). The swimming, kayaking and paddle-boarding conditions will also be much improved, and best of all down on the south coast. High tides will increase to about 8m around dawn and dinner time.
The next forecast update will be on Sunday evening…
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Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway