Saturday
Weather
A similarly sunny and hot day to Friday, slightly sunnier actually, because there won’t be any of that high cloud that we saw on Friday evening. It will be a little windier though, at least in the first half of the day, when the NNE’ly wind will be mostly moderate force 4. Head to south coast to feel warmest at that time. Moving on to the late afternoon and evening, the breeze will drop off to light force 2-3, so that’s when everywhere else will start to feel gorgeous. Max temp 22-23°C. Min temp overnight 14-15°C.
Surf and the Water
Some cleanish 1 foot waves are likely around dawn, then possibly some fractionally larger waves in the late afternoon and evening. However the main events will continue to be the swimming and the paddle-boarding down on the south coast. And of-course the Sark to Jersey rowing race will be helped by the lack of swell, the tail-wind and the relatively weak tidal currents. Low tides will be around 9am and 9:30pm. High tide will be about 7.3m at roughly 3pm.
Sunday
Weather
Another dry and sunny day. Winds a similar strength, but coming from a slightly warmer ENE’ly direction, meaning that temperatures will climb at least a degree higher, and some parts of the west coast will be just as sheltered as the south. If it’s a cooler feeling that you’re after, then the north or east coasts will be your best bet, because the breeze will be coming straight off the sea in those parts.
Surf and the Water
More small but rideable and reasonably clean surf. As for the swimming, the west coast will generally be loveliest in the morning and the south coast in the afternoon. Low water will be at roughly 10am and high water will be about 7.6m at 4:15pm.
Next Week
Weather
There’s just the slimmest chance of a spit or two of rain on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, but that’s more likely to just be a dry but cloudy moment. The rest of the week is looking super sunny though, and the temperature will be highest at the beginning and at the end of the week. Max temperatures will probably be 25-26°C Monday and Tuesday, with E’ly breezes meaning that western parts will be the hottest. Wednesday and Thursday’s max temps will drop to 23-24°C, with the N’ly breeze making the south coast the hottest area. Then, with light and variable breezes, Friday’s temperature will trend slightly upwards again, but the real heat will probably be reserved for next weekend.
Surf and the Water
Apart from a continuation of the glorious conditions for general swimming and coasteering, we will probably see an improvement in the west-coast surf… picking up to around 2-3 feet through Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, then dropping back to 1-2 feet for Friday. It will be a bit of a game of luck though, whether the strongest waves will tie in with the lightest or cleanest winds. Whatever you are doing on the water, it will definitely be warm enough to go without a wetsuit or at least to wear a very short one. However, sun-protection will still be very important, so a full length 1-2mm suit would probably be the best choice (preferably with a sun-hat tied to your zip cord). Big tides will come with the full moon, with highs in the early mornings and in the evenings… those highs increasing each time from about 7.8m early Monday to about 9.5m late Friday.
Next Weekend
Weather
Likely to be the peak of the heatwave, but not with the breakdown that you will all be craving, because the air will probably be too dry for any thundery showers to develop, and likely no sea fog until at least the night time, because the wind is not threatening to turn W’ly until then. Precise temperatures are not certain but daily maxima of between 27°C and 30°C are most likely, and the sunshine will be as intense as ever, so sun lotion and drinking water will be more important than ever. Don’t forget, if you’re staying indoors, then the best way to keep cool will be to keep windows and blinds closed all day).
Surf and the Water
The surf will be pretty tiny, 1-2 feet at best, but it should be lovely and clean. Swimming conditions as gorgeous as you could wish for, but with big tides come stronger currents, so do take care to stay safe. Those tides will be high mid-morning and soon after dusk (between 9m and 9.5m). Low tides will be mid-late afternoons.
The next forecast update will be on Monday…
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