Monday and Tuesday
Weather
As the high pressure system (which is responsible for this dry and settled weather) moves over the mouth of the English Channel, our wind will shift to a very light (almost calm) NE’ly. This means that we will continue to see very small increases in temperature, compared to that extremely chilly Saturday we just had. We are probably talking about half a degree per day, meaning that we should reach 19°C on Tuesday, so the air will finally be warmer than the sea again (by a whisker). The sky will continue to be partly clear/partly cloudy, so the sunny spells will feel rather lovely during the daytime but the starry skies will definitely be on the chilly side during the night time (min temps 10-11°C).
Surf and the Water
Tiny tidal movements, with early afternoon highs of only 6.3m. This means the currents will be very weak, so combined with the very light winds these will really be superb days for kayaking and paddle-boarding. The swimming will obviously be lovely too, but I’m afraid it’s looking rather too tiny for surfers… 1 foot and reasonably clean, so only really rideable for very young kids.
Wednesday and Thursday
Weather
The winds will remain very light but they will switch direction to a SE’ly, just encouraging some slightly warmer air to waft over from France. Skies will be partly sunny/partly cloudy throughout Wednesday and then Thursday morning. However, the cloud will become widespread and thick through Thursday afternoon and night, possibly resulting in some rain before we get to Friday. Max temps will be around 21°C on both days and min temps will be around 14°C and 15°C respectively
Surf and the Water
The surf will probably jump up to 2 or 3 feet (nothing special in the grand scheme but definitely clean and much more rideable than the previous days). As for the swimming conditions, they will be best along the west and north coasts, but the other coasts will be almost as lovely, especially on Wednesday, when the wind is lightest. The tidal range will start to get larger again, with late afternoon/early evening highs of 6.9m on Wednesday, and 7.6m on Thursday.
Friday and the Weekend
Weather
Friday will certainly have a few brief showers but there might also be a spell of more persistent rain during the morning. Winds will switch from a force 2 to 3 SW’ly in the morning, to a force 3 to 4 N’ly by dusk. Overnight and through Saturday, this wind will strengthen to force 4 to 5 and then through Sunday it will back to a NW’ly direction. This will make for a rather unsettled weekend, especially when you throw in a few showers, and it currently looks as though those showers will be heaviest and most frequent on Saturday. Temperatures trending downwards, with maxima of 20°C on Friday, 19°C on Saturday and 18°C on Sunday.
Surf and the Water
The 2-3 foot surf should stay clean at least through Friday morning, but it’s going to be messy for most of the time after that. However, whilst the surf quality goes downhill, the windsurfers and kite-surfers can look forward to a bit more action than they’ve seen for a while. As for the swimming, that’s going to be a south coast affair, and that will tie in nicely with the increasing tidal-range.
The next forecast update will be on Wednesday…
Previous Weather Fox ForecastsTide Tables
Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway