Saturday
Weather
A straight forward day of sunshine and showers. Through the morning, the showers will be so few and far between that they might miss us altogether. They will be a little more widespread in the afternoon though, so we are much more likely to catch a couple, and they might well be on the heavy side. The shower risk will remain quite high through the evening and much of the night but it should be gone by dawn on Sunday. All the while, the winds will veer from a moderate force 4 N’ly during the daytime to a NE’ly during the night time. Max 17-18°C, min 12-13°C.
Surf and the Water
The surf will be made choppy by the cross-shore wind, and it will only be a weak and sloppy 2-3 feet anyway. The wind might just be strong enough for some fun windsurfing or kitesurfing though. And if it’s smooth water you require, for pleasant swimming conditions, then it will definitely be best along the south coast. High water will be around dawn and dusk (8.3m and 8.6m respectively). Low water will be at lunchtime.
Sunday
Weather
A basically dry and sunny, with all the showery activity having moved further south. Skies will cloud over before sunset and then there might be some spits and spots of rain overnight. However, the most negative weather feature will probably be the wind, because it will be bringing some rather cold air from Arctic origin. Through the daytime this will be a force 3-4 NNE’ly, then overnight it will change to a fresh force 5-6 WNW’ly. Max 16°C, min 13-14°C.
Surf and the Water
Another day of poor surf, smaller and sloppier than Saturday, but still ok for windsurfing and kitesurfing, especially early morning. Once again, head south for the best swimming conditions, or maybe to the other coasts towards sunset (because that’s when the wind will be lightest). High water will be around dawn and dusk again, but the will be a bit bigger than on Saturday (8.7m and 9m respectively). Low water will be at lunchtime.
Next Week
Weather
Monday and Tuesday look particularly windy (fresh F5 to strong F6 and gusty), coming from a W’ly direction on Monday and a NW’ly on Tuesday, so Town will always be the most sheltered area. Wednesday is a bit uncertain I’m afraid, with a chance that a small but vigorous low pressure system will come through the Channel, giving us light winds whilst directly overhead, but very strong winds when we are at the edges of it. The rest of the week will have a more relaxed straight-forward W’ly wind (moderate force 4). The strongest winds will be unpleasant in themselves, but there will also be some occasional wet spells to go with with them. The detail is uncertain, but it currently looks as though Monday, Wednesday and Friday will all have a deluge or two, but Tuesday and Thursday should mostly (if not entirely) dry. Daily max temperatures will be fairly steady and around average for the time of year… starting off with 16-17°C on Monday, then finishing with 18-19°C for Thursday and Friday, nightly min temps will be around 12-14°C, so feeling decidedly autumnal but probably not requiring the central heating just yet.
Surf and the Water
The surf should be big enough to ride every day, but it is looking messy throughout the week, especially on Monday and Tuesday. This will obviously be good for windsurfing and kitesurfing though. The tides will be fairly big surrounding the new moon of the equinox. Not quite as big as they were a couple of weeks ago around the full moon, but still achieving daily highs of over 9m (Monday to Thursday) around breakfast time and soon after dusk.
The next forecast update will be on Sunday evening…
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Lihou Causeway