Monday
Weather
It might not be quite as rough as Sunday but, with force 5-6 SW’ly winds and occasional heavy (possibly thundery) downpours, it certainly won’t be far behind. In between those showers, there will be some lengthy sunny spells and the temperature will be a perfectly respectable 17°C, but you will have to find a sheltered spot like Town or Germain to really feel comfortable.
Surf and the Water
The Surf will be chunky and choppy through the morning, thanks to Sunday night’s SW’ly blast. Things will only calm down a little bit during the afternoon. It’s hard to put a size on it when it’s all short period wind waves, but I imagine there will be some reasonable shortboard waves in the 3 to 4 foot range if you pick the right time and place. Windsurfers and kite-surfers will definitely be the happiest people in the water, but I’m sure there will also be some happy swimmers finding suitable shelter at Fermain. High tide will be about 9m around dawn and dusk and low tide will be around 1pm.
Tuesday
Weather
With lighter winds (force 4 SSE’ly), dry weather and the odd spell of hazy sunshine, this should be one of the finer days of this week and the temperature will respond accordingly, picking up to 18°C and feeling very comfortable for most outdoor activities. There is some uncertainty about this forecast, because there will be some very heavy rain quite nearby to the west. It’s certainly a little bit close for comfort, but it currently looks as though it’s all going to miss us.
Surf and the Water
The Surf will be much cleaner then on Monday but it is going to be really small and weak. Only about 1-2 feet and suitable for kids and longboarders. Swimmers won’t need to hide in those east-coast nooks anymore because the west and north coasts will be good in all the bays. High tide will be a little over 9m around dawn and dusk and low tide will be around 1:30pm.
Wednesday, Thursday and Friday
Weather
The rollercoaster ride continues, with stronger winds on Wednesday, then gentler winds and maybe some sunshine on Thursday, followed by some prolonged rain and drizzle overnight and through the first half of Friday. Whenever a forecast is as changeable as this, we mustn’t be at all surprised to see a slight shift in the timings as the week evolves. However, there will be some consistent elements and those will be the S’ly wind direction and the mild temperatures (high teens by day, low to mid-teens by night).
Surf and the Water
The surf will be lovely and clean on these three days and it will gradually increase in size from 2-3 feet on Wednesday to 4-5 feet on Friday. The tidal movements will stay big, with highs of over 9 m at breakfast time and lows in the mid-afternoons.
The Weekend
Weather
Finally, it looks as though high pressure will build over the Channel, giving us much greater certainty of light winds and fine weather. Saturday currently looks set to have a force 3-4 SSE’ly breeze, then Sunday should just have a light force 2-3 SW’ly. Both days should peak around the 18°C, much like on the previous days, but with lighter winds and brighter sunshine, these days will probably feel much more comfortable.
Surf and the Water
Just more of the same for surfers, dreamy clean 4 foot waves on tap, with the only frustration being a large tidal range that will probably be too low to surf for about half of the day. The mornings will generally be best, with highs at roughly 9:30am (9m and 8.6m respectively).
The next forecast update will be on Tuesday or Wednesday…
Previous Weather Fox ForecastsTide Tables
Swim Conditions
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Lihou Causeway