Saturday
Weather
Pop your shades on because the low November sun will be blazing all day, with a moderate force 4 SSE’ly wind and a top temp of around 16°C. The warmest areas will be along the west coast, especially down towards Pleinmont where there will be a little more shelter from the wind.
Surf and the Water
Amazing surf in the morning (6 foot and clean). Marginally smaller in the afternoon but generally spoilt by the tide being low. High water is 8.6m around 8:15am. Low water is 2m around 2:15pm. If that surf’s too big for you then there’s a slim chance that there will also be some beginner-sized waves to catch up at at L’Ancresse (and that will also be a lovely place to go swimming).
Sunday
Weather
An almost identical day to Saturday. Same wind and weather (or lack of) and therefore the same high temperature for mid-November. Let’s face it, there has been a lot of wet and windy weather in recent weeks, and I’m not sure you’re really going to like the rest of this forecast, so please don’t miss this opportunity to spend a really decent chunk of the weekend outdoors, dosing up on fresh air and vitamin D..
Surf and the Water
Super-clean surf again, but only 3 feet on the west coast on this occasion. The waves will obviously be more crowded at that size but with the tidal movement a little smaller and later, this will help to spread things out a bit. High water will be 8.2m at around 8:45am and low water will be 2.9m around 3:10pm. Once again, the swimming will be loveliest up north but it will also be good in the more sheltered nooks along the west coast.
Monday to Wednesday
Weather
Each of these three days will see the passing of active weather fronts, bringing spells of rain that could be on the heavy side and probably with a sprinkling of showers in between. On the plus side, the reservoirs do need topping up and we will get to enjoy a few sunny intervals and some pretty rainbows. The timing of these fronts is all a bit uncertain at a few days range, but I should have a good idea on my next update. Winds will vary between strong force 6-7 SSW’ly when the weather fronts are approaching and force 4-5 WSW’ly after they have cleared through. Temperatures will peak around 14°C each day, although there is a chance that Town could sneak up to 15°C.
Surf and the Water
The west-coast surf will alternate between clean and choppy, either side of the passing weather fronts. However, when the winds are offshore they will also be strongest, so it will always be somewhat challenging. Size-wise, we are talking 6 feet on Monday and Tuesday, then probably 8 feet on Wednesday (so the north coast might also be an option on that day). Windsurfers and kite-surfers will also find plenty of action on these days. Have fun out there everyone! High tides mid to late mornings. Low tides mid to late afternoons.
Thursday and Friday
Weather
Winds will be force 4-5 WSW’ly through both days, as we just see an alternating pattern of long sunny periods and brief sharp showers. It should be easy to see the showers approaching on the horizon, and there is always the Channel Islands weather radar that you can look at online, so it ought to be pretty easy to avoid getting soaked. You might even manage to dry a laundry load or two if you keep your eye on the ball. Temperatures will be slightly lower than the previous days though, probably only climbing to 13°C in most areas, but possibly sneaking up to 14°C in Town.
Surf and the Water
Swimming conditions will definitely be best along the east coast. Over on the west coast, the surf will be rather choppy, but it will still be very big, so probably cleaner and rideable on the north coast too. High tides will be around lunchtime; lovely and small… 6.7m and 6.9m respectively.
The next forecast update will be on Monday…
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Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway