Guernsey Weather Fox

Monday

Weather

This is one of the few days that is likely (although not guaranteed) to stay dry. The wind will be a fresh force 5 SSW’ly and the skies mostly cloudy. If ever the cloud is thick enough to squeeze out some rain, then it would only be drizzly. Often the cloud will be thin enough to let a little sunshine slip through, and this should lift the temperature to a max of around 16°C. The warmes areas being Town, Pleinmont and St Sampson.

Surf and the Water

Clean 3-4 foot surf on the west coast, along with some pretty decent windsurfing and kitesurfing conditions too. Tidal movements will be getting bigger as we approach the full moon… low will be at 10:40am, then high will be 8.8m at 4:40pm.

Tuesday and Wednesday

Weather

Both days will have SSE’ly winds, strong force 6 on Tuesday, gradually decreasing to moderate force 4 through Wednesday. That wind direction will bring air that’s very mild and very moist, so we can expect temperatures to stay around 14°C throughout each night and around 15-16°C throughout each day, probably slipping up to 17°C if any sunshine slips through the cracks. Rain-wise, the cloud is going to be thick so the occasional showers will be heavy, probably adding up to 5-10mm each day, but possibly as much as 15-20mm. Timing is totally uncertain at the moment, so Budloe celebrations may be dry or they may be sopping wet.

Surf and the Water

The surf will be pretty epic… 5-6 feet and clean as a whistle. The offshore wind will be a tough one to paddle against, but it will be fantastic for windsurfing and kitesurfing, especially on Tuesday. Tides will be low at 11:30am on Tuesday and then just after midday on Wednesday. High tides will be shortly before dawn and around dusk, increasing incrementally from 9m on Tuesday morning to 9.7m on Wednesday evening. Obviously these tides are big enough for the usual west coast splashiness, but in this instance the wind direction will be quite troublesome for the east coast as well.

Thursday and Friday

Weather

Winds will probably be slack and of variable direction on Thursday and then strong SSE’ly on Friday. Both will carry warm air but Thursday will certainly feel the nicest, with long spells of sunshine and just a few heavy showers. Rainfall is very uncertain on Friday, but I’m pretty confident that the sky will be cloudy and the windstrength will take away any feelings of comfortable warmth. Max temps will be about 16-17°C on Thursday and 15-16°C on Friday.

Surf and the Water

Thursday’s surf will probably be 5-6 feet and powerful, but the wind direction is very uncertain at the moment. Friday’s surf will be smaller (probably 3-4 feet) but the forecast for a clean S’ly wind is pretty solid. Friday will probably be the best day for windsurfing and kitesurfing too. Low tides will be at 1pm on Thursday and then 1:45pm on Friday. High tidfes will be around dawn and dinnertime, varying between 9.7m and 9.9m.

The Weekend

Weather

It looks as though things will settle down in a big way. Probably dry throughout, slack winds and sunshine on Saturday, then moderate S’ly breezes and cloudier skies on Sunday, but that cloud will probably be high cirrus cloud, which will allow some hazy sunshine to filter though and maintain some reasonable warmth. Max temps most likely 16°C and 15°C respectively.

Surf and the Water

Very big surf, size uncertain but suffice to say that the north coast waves will probably be breaking, and for most people they will be a preferable size to the west coast waves. Sunday will probably be the best day for windsurfers and kite surfers. Saturday the best day for swimmers (east coast only). Tides will be high around breakfast time (9.6m Saturday and 9.2m Sunday). Low tides will be in the mid-afternoons.